São Paulo vs Grêmio Match Outlook & AI Prediction, Brasileiro Serie A Premium preview.
Two teams separated by just one point in the league standings clash as São Paulo looks to leverage home advantage against a potent Grêmio attack.
Away team
Match Info
- Date & Kickoff: 12/02/2026 01:30 GMT
- Competition: Brasileiro Serie A
- Venue: Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo
Match Outlook
São Paulo enters this Brasileiro Serie A fixture with a clear advantage, primarily due to their strong home form against Grêmio. The hosts have won the last three encounters at the Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo. While Grêmio arrives with some positive recent results, including a high-scoring victory, their away form has been inconsistent. The key swing factor will be whether Grêmio's attack can breach a São Paulo side that has historically been very organized at home in this matchup.
Key Stats & Recent Form
- São Paulo has won their last three home matches against Grêmio.
- Grêmio has scored 14 goals in their last six matches across all competitions.
- In the last six head-to-head meetings, the home team has won on five occasions.
- São Paulo sits in 5th place with 4 points, while Grêmio is in 9th place with 3 points.
São Paulo: D-W-W-L-L-D Grêmio: W-D-L-L-W-W
Team News & Expected Lineups
Both teams are expected to have their key players available for this crucial league match, with no major injuries or suspensions reported ahead of the fixture.
**São Paulo Expected Lineup:** Rafael; Rafinha, Arboleda, Franco, Welington; Alisson, Bobadilla; Lucas Moura, Luciano, Ferreira; Calleri
**Grêmio Expected Lineup:** Marchesín; João Pedro, Geromel, Kannemann, Reinaldo; Villasanti, Pepê; Pavón, Cristaldo, Soteldo; Diego Costa
AI Prediction
The AI prediction models indicate a likely win for São Paulo. Based on an average of multiple models, the probability of a home victory is 52%, suggesting medium confidence. The analysis points to São Paulo's strong historical performance at home against Grêmio as a decisive factor.
Conclusion
The match outlook suggests a victory for São Paulo, largely based on their consistent home-field advantage in this specific fixture. This human analysis aligns with the AI prediction, which also favors the home team, making a win for São Paulo the most probable outcome.

