Metz vs Auxerre Match Outlook & AI Prediction, Ligue 1 Premium preview.
A crucial battle at the bottom of the table pits two of the league's most out-of-form teams against each other with survival on the line.
Away team
Match Info
- Date & Kickoff: 15/02/2026 at 17:15 GMT
- Competition: Ligue 1
- Venue: Stade Saint-Symphorien
Match Outlook
This match has all the makings of a tense relegation scrap. Metz, sitting in 18th place, holds home advantage but possesses the leakiest defense in Ligue 1, having conceded 46 goals. Their opponents, Auxerre, are just two places above them but have the league's worst attack, finding the net only 14 times all season. Neither team has won in their last six matches, pointing towards a cautious affair where both sides will prioritize avoiding another loss. The key factor could be whether Metz's struggling defense can contain an Auxerre attack that rarely threatens.
Key Stats & Recent Form
- Metz has the worst defense in Ligue 1 (46 goals conceded in 21 games).
- Auxerre has the worst offense in Ligue 1 (14 goals scored in 21 games).
- Both clubs are winless in their last six league matches.
- Auxerre defeated Metz 3-1 in the reverse fixture earlier this season.
Metz Recent Form: D-L-L-L-L-D Auxerre Recent Form: D-D-L-L-L-L
Team News & Expected Lineups
Metz will be without J. Mangondo, P. Sy, F. Ballo Touré, and J. Asoro due to various injuries. Auxerre's only major absentee is defender F. Sierralta Carvallo.
Expected Metz XI: Oukidja; Colin, Traoré, Hérelle, Udol; Jean Jacques, N'Doram, Camara; Van Den Kerkhof, Mikautadze, Sabaly.
Expected Auxerre XI: Léon; Joly, Jubal, Pellenard, Mensah; Raveloson, Touré; Perrin, Hein, Sinayoko; Niang.
AI Prediction
The AI models are divided on this match, reflecting its unpredictable nature. One model suggests an Auxerre win with medium confidence (46% probability), predicting a 1-0 scoreline. Another model favors a draw with medium confidence (38% probability), anticipating a 1-1 result. The common theme is a low-scoring game.
Conclusion
This is a must-not-lose game for two struggling sides. Metz's defensive issues clash with Auxerre's offensive impotence, making a low-scoring draw the most logical outcome based on form. The AI prediction is split between a draw and a narrow away win, highlighting that while a stalemate is likely, Auxerre may have a slight edge to steal a crucial victory.
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