Serie A’s lowest scorers host the season’s revelation in a clash of contrasting fortunes
Lecce welcome Como to the Stadio Via del Mare on Saturday for a Serie A Matchday 17 encounter that pits survival instincts against European ambition. The hosts sit 14th with 16 points, while Cesc Fàbregas’s surprise package occupy 7th place with 24 points and genuine continental hopes. Kickoff is set for 3:00 PM CET.
Contrasting Realities
Como have emerged as this season’s feel-good story. The newly promoted side boast the third-best defensive record in Serie A, conceding just 12 goals in 16 matches. However, a 1-0 loss to Roma last weekend interrupted their momentum.
Lecce face a different reality. Marco Giampaolo’s men have scored just 11 goals all season, the lowest tally in the division. Their goal difference of minus eight tells the story of a team scrapping for survival.
Recent Meetings Favor Como
The head-to-head at Via del Mare shows a balanced picture over six meetings, with two wins apiece and two draws. However, recent encounters tell a different story. Como have won the last two meetings without conceding, including a dominant 3-0 victory in April 2025.
Home Form Offers Lecce Hope
Lecce’s last six overall reads W2-D1-L3, averaging 0.83 goals scored and 1.17 conceded per game. The picture improves at home, where they are unbeaten in their last three matches (W2-D1-L0), conceding just 0.33 goals per game during that stretch. Wins over Pisa and Torino have provided rare optimism.
Como’s Away Struggles
Despite their lofty league position, Como have struggled on the road. Their last three away matches show W0-D1-L2, scoring just 0.33 goals per game while conceding one. They failed to find the net in two of those three outings, including defeats at Roma and Lazio.
Tactical Clash
This match presents a clear stylistic contrast. Lecce average just 42% possession and 9.1 shots per game, relying on direct play and counter-attacks. Como dominate the ball at 57% under Fàbregas’s patient buildup philosophy, averaging 12.5 shots per game. Set pieces could prove decisive, as Lecce have conceded four goals from corners this season.
Team News
Lecce lose significant pace with Lameck Banda sidelined by a thigh injury, while Filip Marchwiński remains out for the season with an ACL tear. Ante Rebic or Tete Morente must provide width in Banda’s absence.
Como face uncertainty over Andrea Belotti, who carries a leg concern. Patrick Cutrone stands ready to deputize. Sergi Roberto is also doubtful with a muscle issue, potentially handing Matthias Braunöder a starting role in midfield.
Numbers to Watch
Nico Paz leads Como’s attack with five goals and five assists this season. For Lecce, Nikola Krstović carries the goalscoring burden almost alone. The Under 2.5 Goals outcome has hit in six of Lecce’s last seven matches, while Como have kept clean sheets in 35% of their games.
Where to Watch
DAZN (Italy), Paramount+ (USA), DAZN and TNT Sports (UK).
